purplecthulhu: (Astronomy)
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posted by [personal profile] purplecthulhu at 07:40pm on 13/06/2007
Is this news more than just a way for EADS to score a few headlines at the Paris airshow and a chance spoil Scaled Composite's game?

If it is, then we may see two reusable man-rated commercial sub-orbital systems in the next 5 years. If they prove a success then we would have a genuine space tourism market forming, and variants of the tourist vehicles could be used to launch smallish satellites into orbit for vasty reduced costs.

We've been here before, but could it finally be happening this time?
There are 2 comments on this entry. (Reply.)
 
posted by [identity profile] daveon.livejournal.com at 11:55pm on 13/06/2007
It might be. But I'm still not sure about the actual size of the sub-orbital market, plus there isn't a sensible evolutionary route from sub-orbital to orbital anyway.

What I think is more interesting is the idea this flys in and out of conventional airports and seems to have a pretty significant downrange capability. Plus EADS won't be bothering with the meal mouthed (it's experimental, we can dodge the formal flight certification nonsense) way Scaled and the others are having to work because they don't have cash.

That means this enters the exec-jet market and the courier market - which are proper markets.
 
posted by [identity profile] purplecthulhu.livejournal.com at 07:19am on 14/06/2007
Indeed, the cross range and normal airport aspects are important. It might be that EADS has done some research and realised that there is a market for not only the space tourism but the exec and courier markets as you suggest. Its the kind of thing that Pat Collins has been advocating for a while. Of course it might be like the McLaren F1 - supercars usually appear just before an economic crash...

As to orbital evolution, I don't think there's an easy way for these vehicles to move to orbital passenger flights, but conversion to orbiting satellites might not be so hard if a profitable market can be demonstrated. 200kg to LEO for, say, a million euros is, I think, quite a reduction in costs, but I'm not certain.

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