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posted by [personal profile] purplecthulhu at 09:21am on 12/09/2004
In a moment of sang froid while listening to the news this morning, I had the following thought...

If hurricane Ivan hits Cuba, and hits it badly as currently seems likely, there will doubtless be requests for external aid.

If Bush refuses to provide this, as is likely given his track record, then he may lose lots of votes from Cuban exiles in Florida whose families may have been affected.

If, contrary to expectation, he provides aid, them he may lose votes elsewhere because he'll be backing 'godless commies getting their just desserts from god'.

Am I being too cynical here?

And what's going to be the effect of what may have been a nuclear test in North Korea? It's proof that 'the US and the world' are not safer places, but it also ramps up the level of fear and paranoia which has proved a vote winner so far...

For ongoing US election predictions this web site is pretty good:

http://www.electoral-vote.com/
There are 6 comments on this entry. (Reply.)
 
posted by [identity profile] purpletigron.livejournal.com at 02:20am on 12/09/2004
That's a cynical, cold-blooded and rather plausible thought...
 
posted by [identity profile] del-c.livejournal.com at 02:23am on 12/09/2004
One of the weird things about watching US TV while at Worldcon was seeing weather reports on Ivan where the presenter explained that Ivan would hit Jamaica and could go on to hit Florida, making no mention at all of That Country in between, despite the predicted track passing right across it.
 
posted by [identity profile] purpletigron.livejournal.com at 03:17am on 12/09/2004
Apparently (http://www.wxforecasts.com/cgi-bin/wxforecast/wxforecasts.cgi?forecast=Storm4_Public), Ivan's due in Cuba during Monday.
 
posted by [identity profile] mouseman.livejournal.com at 07:36am on 12/09/2004
Is the US providing aid to Grenada? Oh, perhaps they are. Wow, a whole $50,000 (though probably more in the future). What about other countries?
 
posted by [identity profile] overconvergent.livejournal.com at 01:52am on 13/09/2004
IIRC the USA offered aid to Iran after the Bam earthquake, so I think they would offer Cuba aid if they *really* needed it.
 
posted by [identity profile] canadian-worm.livejournal.com at 04:19pm on 21/09/2004
If South Korea has indeed been enriching Uranium and Plutonium, can the US use the big NPT stick on North Korea? Japan may also be enriching materials.

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